Product foundations · Mixed

Success metrics that don't lie

In one line: Pick one metric tied to the value the user received, and one beside it that keeps you from breaking something else.

Vanity metrics

Signups, logins, clicks. They almost always go up and prove nothing. A good metric goes down when you do something bad — that's the test.

Replace “how many entered” with “how many completed the action they came for,” and “how many signed up” with “how many returned in the second week.”

A pair of metrics, not one

Every primary metric needs a balancing one. Speed versus quality. Automation rate versus satisfaction. Revenue versus cancellations. Without the balance, any team will find a way to improve the primary metric in a way that hurts elsewhere.

Put both numbers on the same board, side by side.

Before and after

Measure two weeks before release. Without a baseline, any post-release number is a story you can tell either way. If possible, release to some users and compare to the group that stayed on the current state — that's the only way to separate impact from seasonality.

Going deeper

Define the metric as a saved query, not a number someone computes by hand once a month. A metric that requires manual work stops being measured exactly when it becomes interesting. Add breakdowns: by user type, by tenure, by channel — a stable average often hides a sharp decline in one segment.